Jonathan Sacerdoti in the Spectator – Israel won’t stop in Lebanon until Hezbollah is crushed:
As has been obvious for a while, the government of Lebanon has no intention and also no ability to disarm Hezbollah by force. (The Lebanese Armed Forces are around 40 per cent Shia and would almost certainly fall apart should such an effort be commenced. They are also, in any case, militarily weaker than the terror group). Hezbollah, equally obviously, has no intention of voluntarily disarming. The Lebanese government wants an end to Israel’s attacks on its soil, while also avoiding confronting the terror group. Israel is unlikely to be interested in such an arrangement for as long as Iran and Hezbollah remain committed to their long war for the Jewish state’s destruction.
From this point of view, it is a mistake to consider the events in Iran, Israel, Iraq, Hormuz and Lebanon since 28 February as constituting a ‘war’. Rather, they are a round of fighting in a much longer conflict that has been under way for decades and is likely to end only when the regime in Tehran falls. Short of that, prepare for more of the same.
It’s worth reminding ourselves, when discussing Hezbollah and Lebanon, that UNIFIL – United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon – has been sitting on its hands for decades now as a supposed international peace-keeping force. It plays a similar role as UNRWA does in Gaza – that is, it has a symbiotic relationship with Hezbollah, just as UNRWA has with Hamas. See here:
Hezbollah has been the dominant force in Lebanon for many years, with the Lebanese government and UNIFIL standing idly by, as the Iranian funded Hezbollah continued building huge underground launch sites on the Israeli border, contrary to the very Agreement UNIFIL were supposedly there to enforce. Indeed, by October 2023, UNIFIL had become no more than enthusiastic spectators, as Hezbollah launched their daily attacks on Israel, intervening only later to shoot down Israeli surveillance drones in the area.
Also Tony Badran in Tablet Magazine, from November 2024.
UNIFIL, in its current iteration, was given a mandate in 2006 via U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701 to help ensure that the area south of the Litani River would remain free of any armed presence save its own and that of the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF). Resolution 1701 was ostensibly meant to end the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war on terms that would prevent the Lebanese-based terror army from launching more attacks against Israel by giving the Israelis a demilitarized zone on their northern border enforced by international troops. The catch was that UNIFIL would implement its mandate in support of and in coordination with the Lebanese government and the LAF—which are both controlled by Hezbollah. Rather than decrease Hezbollah’s strength on Israel’s border, the group’s armed presence south of the Litani grew exponentially under UNIFIL’s oversight.
Just how blatantly Hezbollah operated with UNIFIL’s blessing became clear after Israel launched its invasion of southern Lebanon on Sept. 30. IDF units operating close to Israel’s northern border uncovered the openings of elaborate, large-scale Hezbollah tunnel networks a few yards away from UNIFIL positions. It was clearly impossible for UNIFIL commanders not to have been fully aware of the construction of those positions and their use by large squads of armed Hezbollah militants who moved in and out. Needless to say, the construction and deployment of Hezbollah’s tunnel network, which made a mockery of UNIFIL’s supposed role in demilitarizing southern Lebanon, was never reported back to the U.N. through official channels or made public. Instead, UNIFIL paid local Hezbollah operatives and supporters to act as contractors and provide other services, essentially melding its functions with those of the terrorist army for which it was providing cover.

















